Value 40%
How cheap is AA compared to other Materials stocks? Lower forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and P/FCF earn higher Value scores.
71.2
- Forward P/E
- 11.47
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.58
- P / FCF
- 24.45
- PEG
- 0.01
AA Alcoa Corporation
71.6
Opportunity
Raw BEACON composite
How to read this page
The big number above is AA's BEACON composite — a 0-100 sector-relative score blending three factors: Value (40%), Quality (35%), and Momentum (25%). A score of 70+ means AA ranks well against its Materials peers on most factors. The current macro regime is then overlaid to produce the regime-adjusted score lower on this page.
Every metric on this page is computed against Materials peers, not the whole market. A "cheap" P/E in tech isn't the same as a "cheap" P/E in utilities. Read the full methodology →
Quality 35%
How healthy is the underlying business? Higher gross margin, ROE, and FCF yield (and lower debt) earn higher Quality scores.
72.2
- Gross Margin
- +13.6%
- ROE
- +18.7%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.00
- FCF Yield
- +4.09%
Momentum 25%
Is the market starting to recognize the value? Above the 200-day moving average and a positive 3-month return earn higher Momentum scores.
71.6
- Price
- $73.26
- 200-day SMA
- $43.98
- vs 200-day
- +66.6%
- 3-month change
- +15.1%
AA vs Materials Median
Each row compares AA to the median stock in the Materials sector. ▲ Better means AA is better positioned than the sector median for that metric (cheaper for valuation metrics, healthier for quality metrics). ▼ Worse means the opposite. Tiny differences (within 2%) are shown as In line.
| Metric | AA | Materials Median | vs Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E | 11.47 | 14.06 | ▲ Better |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.58 | 10.48 | ▲ Better |
| P / FCF | 24.45 | 15.27 | ▼ Worse |
| PEG Ratio | 0.01 | 0.03 | ▲ Better |
| Gross Margin | +13.6% | +17.2% | ▼ Worse |
| ROE | +18.7% | -2.9% | ▲ Better |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 | 0.64 | ▲ Better |
| FCF Yield | +4.1% | +2.8% | ▲ Better |
Regime Fit
The current macro regime favors some sectors and pressures others. BEACON multiplies AA's raw score by a sector-specific multiplier to produce its regime-adjusted score. The regime contribution below is how many score points the overlay added (or subtracted) for this stock.
Current regimeEXPANSION
Confidence70.0%
Fit► Neutral
Base multiplier1.05x
Effective multiplier1.04x
Regime contribution+2.5 pts
Raw BEACON71.6
Regime-adjusted74.1
Global rank#23
Sector rank#4 / 44
Financial Health
These five indicators drive BEACON's hard red-flag gates. If any of them lands in the red zone, the composite score is capped at 40 regardless of how the Value/Quality/Momentum sub-scores look. Refreshed weekly from AA's most recent annual filings.
Altman Z-Score
1.97
Grey Zone
≥ 3.0 safe · 1.81-2.99 grey · < 1.8 distress
Current Ratio
1.45
Adequate
≥ 1.5 healthy · 1.0-1.49 adequate · < 0.5 critical
Revenue YoY Growth
+4.5%
Flat
≥ +5% growing · 0 to -15% declining · < -15% sharp
Consecutive Negative FCF Years
0
None
3+ years triggers a red flag
Consecutive Revenue Decline Years
0
None
2+ years (combined w/ -15% YoY) triggers a red flag
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