MACRO REGIME
Current Regime: EXPANSION
Confidence 70%
SECTOR MULTIPLIERS
Each sector gets a base multiplier for the current regime. That multiplier is then tapered by regime confidence: at 100% confidence the full multiplier applies, at 0% every sector collapses to 1.0 (neutral).
| Sector | Base Multiplier | Effective (at 70% confidence) | Regime Fit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | 1.15x | 1.105x | ▲ Favored |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.15x | 1.105x | ▲ Favored |
| Industrials | 1.10x | 1.070x | ▲ Favored |
| Communication Services | 1.10x | 1.070x | ▲ Favored |
| Materials | 1.05x | 1.035x | ► Neutral |
| Healthcare | 1.00x | 1.000x | ► Neutral |
| Energy | 1.00x | 1.000x | ► Neutral |
| Consumer Staples | 0.90x | 0.930x | ▼ Headwind |
| Utilities | 0.85x | 0.895x | ▼ Headwind |
FAVORED STOCKS IN FAVORED SECTORS
Top 10 names from sectors the current regime is tilting toward, ranked by regime-adjusted BEACON score. Red-flagged names are excluded.
| # | Symbol | Company | Sector | BEACON | Regime-Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADEA | Adeia Inc. | Technology | 78.7 | 87.0 |
| 2 | CROX | Crocs, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | 76.5 | 84.5 |
| 3 | ZM | Zoom Communications, Inc. | Technology | 75.6 | 83.5 |
| 4 | PVH | PVH Corp. | Consumer Discretionary | 74.9 | 82.8 |
| 5 | YOU | Clear Secure, Inc. | Technology | 74.0 | 81.8 |
| 6 | INGM | Ingram Micro Holding Corporation | Technology | 73.6 | 81.3 |
| 7 | VSNT | Versant Media Group, Inc. Class A | Industrials | 75.3 | 80.6 |
| 8 | GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation | Industrials | 75.2 | 80.5 |
| 9 | SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | 72.0 | 79.6 |
| 10 | DELL | Dell Technologies Inc. | Technology | 71.7 | 79.2 |
HEADWIND SECTORS
These sectors carry a below-neutral multiplier in the current regime. Individual names can still rank well inside the sector peer group, but the regime overlay is lowering their composite.
- Consumer Staples - effective 0.930x
- Utilities - effective 0.895x
HOW THE OVERLAY WORKS
The regime overlay is a multiplier, not a filter. A strong stock in a headwind sector still appears in the scanner - it just gets pushed down in the regime-adjusted ranking. You can always sort by the raw BEACON score to see the unmodified view.
Macro Harbor BEACON is an AI-assisted educational tool, reviewed by Macro Harbor. It is not investment advice, does not take your personal financial situation into account, and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Past performance does not guarantee future results. See the methodology page for limitations and data sources.
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